Research
Working papers
How do Firms Respond to Unions? (with Samuel Dodini and Alexander Willén)
Reject & Resubmit, Quarterly Journal of Economics
Employer Concentration and Outside Options (with Gregor Schubert and Bledi Taska)
Reject & Resubmit, AEJ: Economic Policy
Occupational mobility data set (v. 2021/01/05).
WCEG Policy brief, article at ProMarket, research summary by UCLA Anderson Management Review
The Class Gap in Career Progression: Evidence from Academia (with Kyra Rodriguez)
Revise & Resubmit, Econometrica
Twitter thread; Media coverage: Financial Times, Marginal Revolution, The Economics Show podcast (FT)
A Retrospective Analysis of the Acquisition of Target's Pharmacy Business by CVS Health: Labor Market Perspective (with Enas Farag, Alaa Abdelfattah, Chris Compton, and Marshall Steinbaum)
Revise & Resubmit, Review of Economics and Statistics
Minimum Wages and Workplace Injuries (with R Jisung Park and Michael Davies)
Working Paper
Work in progress
Better Outside Options Reduce Workplace Injuries (with R Jisung Park and Paul Stainier)
Publications
Incentives to Comply with the Minimum Wage in the US and UK
ILR Review, November 2024
Replication files (includes new FOIA-ed WHD WHISARD case-level compliance data and UK Employment Tribunal Minimum Wage cases)
IZA working paper version May 2024
Updates min wage analysis in prior US working paper on NLRA and FLSA: Do US firms have an incentive to comply with the FLSA and NLRA?
Media and commentary - US analysis: Twitter thread; The Hill op ed; VoxEU column; MIT Sloan Ideas Made to Matter
Media and commentary - UK analysis: (referring to earlier Resolution Foundation policy brief) Twitter thread; Financial Times, Guardian, BBC, Telegraph, Times, Bloomberg, Mirror
[On older version of US analysis: Twitter thread; Bloomberg Opinion Column; Exec Summary & Policy Implications; PIIE Chart]
The Economics Profession's Socioeconomic Diversity Problem (with Robert Schultz)
Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2023
VoxEU summary; Twitter thread; Harvard Business Review column; Media coverage at NPR Marketplace; Moody's Inside Economics podcast, Pitchfork Economics podcast, Washington Post, MIT Sloan Ideas Made to Matter, Marginal Revolution, the Why Axis, CGD Blog
Tackling the UK's Regional Economic Inequality: Binding constraints and avenues for policy intervention (with Dan Turner and Ed Balls)
Contemporary Social Science, August 2023
Replication package & Appendix available at the Contemporary Social Science website under "Supplemental"
Twitter thread; column in the Times; longer column in VoxEU; Media coverage in Financial Times (& here & here), Guardian; CityTalks podcast
Website on Britain's Growing Regional Divides - putting together a series of papers by our research team
Gender Gaps in South Korea's Labor Market: Children explain most of the gender employment gap, but little of the gender wage gap (with Jacob Funk Kirkegaard and Karen Dynan)
Applied Economics Letters, May 2023
(much) longer PIIE working paper, which contains more on the relationship between fertility and gender disparities: Why Gender Disparities Persist in South Korea's Labor Market
Productivity and Pay in the United States and Canada (with Jacob Greenspon and Lawrence H. Summers)
International Productivity Monitor, Fall 2021
Twitter threads (Jacob's, mine); VoxEU Column; PIIE Blog Post
The Declining Worker Power Hypothesis (with Lawrence H. Summers)
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Spring 2020
Replication files (can download either the abridged version for figures only, or full version)
Twitter thread; VoxEU column; Some media coverage: WSJ Real Time Economics, New York Times, NPR's the Indicator, Marginal Revolution, Libération, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Productivity and Pay: Is the Link Broken? [working paper version] (with Lawrence H. Summers)
in Facing Up To Low Productivity Growth, Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2019
Replication data and code
Columns: VoxEU article, Financial Times, Washington Post; Twitter thread; Media coverage in Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Bloomberg, Economist
Central Bank Independence Revisited: After the financial crisis, what should a model central bank look like? (with Ed Balls and James Howat)
Harvard Kennedy School M-RCBG Associate Working Paper No. 87 (2018)
VoxEU article; Some media coverage: Financial Times, Guardian, Telegraph, BBC, CityAM